Final Score: Reds 5 - Mets 4
Tuesday, September 27, 2011 at 7:10 PM ET

Reds @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
78-82 Rating 1487
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.1
Mets
76-84 Rating 1477
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Mets
All-time wins 226 213
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.2 4.1
Last meeting 6 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Mets
Games played 160 160
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.6
Win percentage 49% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 42%