Final Score: Reds 5 - Pirates 4
Sunday, September 25, 2011 at 1:35 PM ET

Reds @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
76-82 Rating 1483
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.4
Pirates
71-87 Rating 1420
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Pirates
All-time wins 312 270
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.6 4.4
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Pirates
Games played 158 158
Avg runs scored 4.6 3.7
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.3
Win percentage 48% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 45%