Final Score: Astros 3 - Reds 2
Monday, September 19, 2011 at 7:10 PM ET

Astros @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
52-100 Rating 1419
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.9
Reds
74-79 Rating 1487
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Reds
All-time wins 343 351
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.3 4.3
Last meeting 5 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Reds
Games played 152 153
Avg runs scored 3.8 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.5
Win percentage 34% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 31% 51%