Final Score: Astros 4 - Reds 6
Tuesday, September 20, 2011 at 7:10 PM ET

Astros @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
53-100 Rating 1421
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.9
Reds
74-80 Rating 1484
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Reds
All-time wins 344 351
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.3 4.3
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Reds
Games played 153 154
Avg runs scored 3.8 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.5
Win percentage 35% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 32% 51%