Final Score: Reds 3 - Pirates 4
Saturday, September 24, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Reds @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
76-81 Rating 1485
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.4
Pirates
70-87 Rating 1418
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Pirates
All-time wins 312 269
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.6 4.4
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Pirates
Games played 157 157
Avg runs scored 4.6 3.7
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.4
Win percentage 48% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 44%