Final Score: Mets 2 - Nationals 3
Sunday, July 31, 2011 at 1:35 PM ET

Mets @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
55-52 Rating 1496
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.3
Nationals
50-56 Rating 1447
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Nationals
All-time wins 368 348
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.1 3.9
Last meeting 0 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Nationals
Games played 107 106
Avg runs scored 4.5 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.1
Win percentage 51% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 57%