Final Score: Mets 10 - Reds 9
Thursday, July 28, 2011 at 12:35 PM ET

Mets @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
53-51 Rating 1494
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.2
Reds
50-54 Rating 1490
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Reds
All-time wins 212 225
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.1 4.2
Last meeting 8 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Reds
Games played 104 104
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.4
Win percentage 51% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 51%