Final Score: Mets 8 - Nationals 5
Friday, July 29, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Mets @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
54-51 Rating 1496
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.3
Nationals
49-55 Rating 1447
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Nationals
All-time wins 367 347
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.1 3.9
Last meeting 1 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Nationals
Games played 105 104
Avg runs scored 4.5 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.1
Win percentage 51% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 57%