Final Score: Marlins 5 - Nationals 2
Thursday, July 28, 2011 at 12:35 PM ET

Marlins @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
51-53 Rating 1491
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.2
Nationals
49-54 Rating 1449
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Nationals
All-time wins 165 126
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.8 4.3
Last meeting 7 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Nationals
Games played 104 103
Avg runs scored 4.1 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.1
Win percentage 49% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 58%