Final Score: Blue Jays 4 - Red Sox 6
Wednesday, July 6, 2011 at 7:10 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
42-45 Rating 1514
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.8
Red Sox
50-35 Rating 1565
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Red Sox
All-time wins 218 278
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.6 5.0
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Red Sox
Games played 87 85
Avg runs scored 4.5 5.2
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.2
Win percentage 48% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 57%