Final Score: Red Sox 2 - Astros 1
Sunday, July 3, 2011 at 2:05 PM ET

Red Sox @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
48-34 Rating 1564
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
61%
39%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +1.0
Astros
29-55 Rating 1440
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Astros
All-time wins 6 2
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 6.3 4.1
Last meeting 10 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Astros
Games played 82 84
Avg runs scored 5.3 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.2 5.1
Win percentage 59% 35%
Away win % / Home win % 59% 30%