Final Score: Astros 3 - Pirates 5
Monday, July 4, 2011 at 1:35 PM ET

Astros @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
29-56 Rating 1439
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Pirates +0.2
Pirates
43-41 Rating 1437
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Pirates
All-time wins 286 259
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average runs 4.4 4.1
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Pirates
Games played 85 84
Avg runs scored 4.0 3.8
Avg runs conceded 5.1 3.8
Win percentage 34% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 49%