Final Score: Astros 1 - Pirates 5
Tuesday, July 5, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Astros @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
29-57 Rating 1437
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Pirates +0.3
Pirates
44-41 Rating 1439
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Pirates
All-time wins 286 260
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average runs 4.4 4.1
Last meeting 3 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Pirates
Games played 86 85
Avg runs scored 4.0 3.9
Avg runs conceded 5.1 3.8
Win percentage 34% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 50%