Final Score: Red Sox 10 - Astros 4
Saturday, July 2, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Red Sox @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
47-34 Rating 1562
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
61%
39%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.9
Astros
29-54 Rating 1442
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Astros
All-time wins 5 2
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.7 4.1
Last meeting 7 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Astros
Games played 81 83
Avg runs scored 5.2 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.2 5.0
Win percentage 58% 35%
Away win % / Home win % 58% 31%