Final Score: Pirates 7 - Blue Jays 6
Tuesday, June 28, 2011 at 7:07 PM ET

Pirates @ Blue Jays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
39-38 Rating 1432
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
36%
64%
Projected margin: Toronto Blue Jays +1.1
Blue Jays
39-40 Rating 1518
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Blue Jays
All-time wins 2 4
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.8 6.2
Last meeting 5 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Blue Jays
Games played 77 79
Avg runs scored 3.8 4.5
Avg runs conceded 3.9 4.5
Win percentage 51% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 49%