Final Score: Blue Jays 3 - Reds 2
Friday, June 17, 2011 at 7:10 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
34-35 Rating 1517
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.1
Reds
37-33 Rating 1505
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Reds
All-time wins 6 3
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 7.6 3.7
Last meeting 5 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Reds
Games played 69 70
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.9
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.4
Win percentage 49% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 57%