Final Score: Pirates 5 - Astros 4
Thursday, June 16, 2011 at 2:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
34-33 Rating 1429
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.4
Astros
25-44 Rating 1449
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Astros
All-time wins 258 286
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.1 4.4
Last meeting 7 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Astros
Games played 67 69
Avg runs scored 3.8 4.0
Avg runs conceded 3.9 5.1
Win percentage 51% 36%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 35%