Final Score: Phillies 4 - Blue Jays 7
Sunday, July 3, 2011 at 1:07 PM ET

Phillies @ Blue Jays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
53-31 Rating 1573
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Blue Jays
40-44 Rating 1511
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Blue Jays
All-time wins 20 21
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 5.1 5.2
Last meeting 5 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Blue Jays
Games played 84 84
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.5
Avg runs conceded 3.2 4.5
Win percentage 63% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 45%