Final Score: Marlins 6 - Nationals 5
Friday, May 13, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
21-15 Rating 1506
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.4
Nationals
18-19 Rating 1444
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Nationals
All-time wins 161 125
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.8 4.3
Last meeting 8 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Nationals
Games played 36 37
Avg runs scored 4.5 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.0 4.2
Win percentage 58% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 60% 56%