Final Score: Phillies 6 - Marlins 4
Monday, May 9, 2011 at 7:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
22-11 Rating 1569
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Marlins
20-13 Rating 1508
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 155 132
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 5.2 4.7
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 33 33
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.6
Avg runs conceded 3.3 4.0
Win percentage 67% 61%
Away win % / Home win % 69% 61%