Final Score: Phillies 1 - Marlins 2
Tuesday, May 10, 2011 at 7:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
23-11 Rating 1571
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Marlins
20-14 Rating 1506
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 156 132
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 5.2 4.7
Last meeting 6 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 34 34
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.6
Avg runs conceded 3.3 4.0
Win percentage 68% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 71% 58%