Final Score: Phillies 5 - Marlins 3
Wednesday, May 11, 2011 at 7:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
23-12 Rating 1569
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Marlins
21-14 Rating 1508
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 156 133
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.2 4.7
Last meeting 1 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 35 35
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.5
Avg runs conceded 3.3 3.9
Win percentage 66% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 67% 60%