Final Score: Marlins 9 - Reds 5
Sunday, May 1, 2011 at 4:10 PM ET

Marlins @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
16-9 Rating 1508
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.1
Reds
14-13 Rating 1500
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Reds
All-time wins 64 86
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.5 5.0
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Reds
Games played 25 27
Avg runs scored 4.4 5.3
Avg runs conceded 3.7 4.5
Win percentage 64% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 60% 53%