Final Score: Marlins 7 - Reds 6
Friday, April 29, 2011 at 7:10 PM ET

Marlins @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
15-8 Rating 1508
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.1
Reds
13-12 Rating 1500
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Reds
All-time wins 63 85
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 5.0
Last meeting 0 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Reds
Games played 23 25
Avg runs scored 4.3 5.3
Avg runs conceded 3.6 4.4
Win percentage 65% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 54%