Final Score: Marlins 2 - Phillies 3
Sunday, April 17, 2011 at 1:35 PM ET

Marlins @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
8-5 Rating 1502
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.9
Phillies
9-4 Rating 1567
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Phillies
All-time wins 132 154
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.7 5.2
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Phillies
Games played 13 13
Avg runs scored 4.0 5.6
Avg runs conceded 4.4 3.5
Win percentage 62% 69%
Away win % / Home win % 71% 71%