Final Score: Nationals 1 - Phillies 4
Tuesday, May 3, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Nationals @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
14-14 Rating 1441
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
31%
69%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.5
Phillies
18-9 Rating 1569
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Phillies
All-time wins 334 379
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 0 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Phillies
Games played 28 27
Avg runs scored 3.8 4.5
Avg runs conceded 3.9 3.3
Win percentage 50% 67%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 64%