Final Score: Phillies 3 - Padres 1
Sunday, April 24, 2011 at 4:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
14-6 Rating 1570
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.5
Padres
8-13 Rating 1492
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Padres
All-time wins 238 195
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.5 4.2
Last meeting 4 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Padres
Games played 20 21
Avg runs scored 4.6 3.0
Avg runs conceded 3.4 3.3
Win percentage 70% 38%
Away win % / Home win % 78% 27%