Final Score: Phillies 6 - Yankees 1
Wednesday, October 28, 2009 at 7:57 PM ET

Phillies @ Yankees

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
100-71 Rating 1560
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.7
Yankees
110-61 Rating 1605
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Yankees
All-time wins 10 11
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.1 5.2
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Yankees
Games played 171 171
Avg runs scored 5.1 5.6
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.5
Win percentage 58% 64%
Away win % / Home win % 60% 72%