Final Score: Dodgers 4 - Phillies 10
Wednesday, October 21, 2009 at 8:07 PM ET

Dodgers @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Dodgers
99-70 Rating 1530
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.5
Phillies
99-71 Rating 1558
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Dodgers Phillies
All-time wins 230 220
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.2 4.1
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Dodgers Phillies
Games played 169 170
Avg runs scored 4.8 5.1
Avg runs conceded 3.8 4.3
Win percentage 59% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 56%