Final Score: Marlins 6 - Phillies 7
Sunday, October 4, 2009 at 1:35 PM ET

Marlins @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
87-74 Rating 1516
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.6
Phillies
92-69 Rating 1549
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Phillies
All-time wins 126 140
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.8 5.3
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Phillies
Games played 161 161
Avg runs scored 4.8 5.0
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.4
Win percentage 54% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 55%