Final Score: Astros 3 - Phillies 10
Wednesday, September 30, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Astros @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
73-84 Rating 1481
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
37%
63%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.0
Phillies
91-66 Rating 1555
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Phillies
All-time wins 226 198
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.3 4.0
Last meeting 4 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Phillies
Games played 157 157
Avg runs scored 4.0 5.1
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.4
Win percentage 46% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 57%