Final Score: Astros 4 - Phillies 7
Tuesday, September 29, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Astros @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
73-83 Rating 1482
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.9
Phillies
90-66 Rating 1553
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Phillies
All-time wins 226 197
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.3 4.0
Last meeting 8 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Phillies
Games played 156 156
Avg runs scored 4.0 5.1
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.4
Win percentage 47% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 56%