Final Score: Reds 2 - Astros 3
Sunday, September 27, 2009 at 2:05 PM ET

Reds @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
74-81 Rating 1472
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.3
Astros
71-83 Rating 1478
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Astros
All-time wins 334 332
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.3 4.3
Last meeting 10 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Astros
Games played 155 154
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.7
Win percentage 48% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 54%