Final Score: Marlins 2 - Reds 3
Thursday, September 17, 2009 at 7:10 PM ET

Marlins @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
78-68 Rating 1510
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.3
Reds
67-79 Rating 1461
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Reds
All-time wins 59 78
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.6 5.1
Last meeting 0 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Reds
Games played 146 146
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.6
Win percentage 53% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 48%