Final Score: Marlins 4 - Reds 3
Friday, September 18, 2009 at 7:10 PM ET

Marlins @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
78-69 Rating 1508
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.2
Reds
68-79 Rating 1463
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Reds
All-time wins 59 79
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.6 5.1
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Reds
Games played 147 147
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.6
Win percentage 53% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 49%