Final Score: Marlins 3 - Reds 2
Saturday, September 19, 2009 at 7:10 PM ET

Marlins @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
79-69 Rating 1509
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.3
Reds
68-80 Rating 1462
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Reds
All-time wins 60 79
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 5.1
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Reds
Games played 148 148
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.6
Win percentage 53% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 48%