Final Score: Reds 4 - Cubs 6
Friday, September 11, 2009 at 2:20 PM ET

Reds @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
63-77 Rating 1456
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.8
Cubs
71-67 Rating 1512
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Cubs
All-time wins 271 252
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.6 4.6
Last meeting 4 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Cubs
Games played 140 138
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.2
Win percentage 45% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 60%