Final Score: Astros 5 - Cubs 3
Monday, August 31, 2009 at 8:05 PM ET

Astros @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
62-68 Rating 1490
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.4
Cubs
65-63 Rating 1509
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Cubs
All-time wins 282 246
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.4
Last meeting 3 12

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Cubs
Games played 130 128
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.3
Win percentage 48% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 60%