Final Score: Nationals 3 - Marlins 11
Saturday, September 12, 2009 at 6:10 PM ET

Nationals @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
49-92 Rating 1404
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
34%
66%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +1.3
Marlins
75-66 Rating 1508
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Marlins
All-time wins 116 144
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.8
Last meeting 5 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Marlins
Games played 141 141
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.8
Avg runs conceded 5.5 4.8
Win percentage 35% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 29% 53%