Final Score: Marlins 9 - Nationals 6
Friday, September 4, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
70-64 Rating 1504
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
58%
42%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.8
Nationals
46-88 Rating 1403
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Nationals
All-time wins 142 114
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.8 4.4
Last meeting 8 12

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Nationals
Games played 134 134
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.8 5.4
Win percentage 52% 34%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 41%