Final Score: Padres 4 - Marlins 6
Sunday, August 30, 2009 at 1:10 PM ET

Padres @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
56-75 Rating 1447
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.8
Marlins
67-62 Rating 1503
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Marlins
All-time wins 64 64
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.4
Last meeting 7 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Marlins
Games played 131 129
Avg runs scored 3.9 4.7
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.8
Win percentage 43% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 36% 54%