Final Score: Padres 9 - Marlins 5
Friday, August 28, 2009 at 7:10 PM ET

Padres @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
54-75 Rating 1442
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.9
Marlins
67-60 Rating 1508
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Marlins
All-time wins 62 64
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.4 4.4
Last meeting 0 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Marlins
Games played 129 127
Avg runs scored 3.8 4.7
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.7
Win percentage 42% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 34% 55%