Final Score: Padres 7 - Marlins 4
Saturday, August 29, 2009 at 6:10 PM ET

Padres @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
55-75 Rating 1445
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.9
Marlins
67-61 Rating 1505
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Marlins
All-time wins 63 64
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.4 4.4
Last meeting 9 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Marlins
Games played 130 128
Avg runs scored 3.9 4.7
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.8
Win percentage 42% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 35% 55%