Final Score: Phillies 7 - Nationals 8
Thursday, September 10, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
79-58 Rating 1554
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
64%
36%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.4
Nationals
47-92 Rating 1399
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 362 326
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 6 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 137 139
Avg runs scored 5.0 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.4 5.5
Win percentage 58% 34%
Away win % / Home win % 61% 39%