Final Score: Phillies 6 - Nationals 5
Wednesday, September 9, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
78-58 Rating 1553
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
64%
36%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.3
Nationals
47-91 Rating 1401
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 361 326
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 5 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 136 138
Avg runs scored 5.0 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.3 5.5
Win percentage 57% 34%
Away win % / Home win % 61% 40%