Final Score: Phillies 4 - Astros 5
Saturday, September 5, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
77-55 Rating 1558
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Astros
64-70 Rating 1491
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Astros
All-time wins 197 222
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.0 4.3
Last meeting 0 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Astros
Games played 132 134
Avg runs scored 5.1 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.7
Win percentage 58% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 63% 55%