Final Score: Phillies 4 - Pirates 6
Tuesday, August 25, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
72-50 Rating 1562
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
62%
38%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.0
Pirates
51-71 Rating 1425
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Pirates
All-time wins 271 286
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.4 4.5
Last meeting 5 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Pirates
Games played 122 122
Avg runs scored 5.3 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.6
Win percentage 59% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 66% 54%