Final Score: Marlins 4 - Nationals 5
Sunday, September 6, 2009 at 1:35 PM ET

Marlins @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
72-64 Rating 1507
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
59%
41%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.9
Nationals
46-90 Rating 1400
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Nationals
All-time wins 144 114
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.8 4.4
Last meeting 9 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Nationals
Games played 136 136
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.8 5.5
Win percentage 53% 34%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 40%