Final Score: Reds 4 - Pirates 1
Thursday, September 24, 2009 at 12:35 PM ET

Reds @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
71-81 Rating 1465
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.4
Pirates
56-94 Rating 1400
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Pirates
All-time wins 295 253
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.6 4.4
Last meeting 12 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Pirates
Games played 152 150
Avg runs scored 4.1 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.8
Win percentage 47% 37%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 49%