Final Score: Padres 2 - Pirates 1
Saturday, September 19, 2009 at 12:35 PM ET

Padres @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
66-82 Rating 1455
Form: WLLWL
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.3
Pirates
56-89 Rating 1409
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Pirates
All-time wins 187 235
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.0 4.5
Last meeting 1 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Pirates
Games played 148 145
Avg runs scored 3.9 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.7
Win percentage 45% 39%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 52%